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    Peru | Output growth forecast for 2016 is revised downwards because of a stronger El Niño

    Published on Tuesday, September 22, 2015 | Updated on Monday, September 28, 2015

    Peru | Output growth forecast for 2016 is revised downwards because of a stronger El Niño

    Summary

    El Niño weather phenomenon will likely have a strong intensity during the summer of 2016, higher than the one we considered back in July in our economic forecasts. The higher sea temperature and heavier rains would affect various productive activities, an impact we estimate at one percentage point of GDP. Hence, our output growth forecast for 2016 has been cut down to 2,8%

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    • Peru

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    Authors

    Francisco Grippa BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    Observatorio_Perú_El Niño

    Spanish - September 22, 2015

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