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    Published on Friday, December 10, 2021

    Peru | More moderate hikes looking forward?

    Summary

    The Board of the Central Bank decided to increase the monetary policy rate from 2,00% to 2,50% in December. The Bank pointed out at the deterioration of expectations of domestic activity and a slower recovery of global activity, which could imply some moderation looking forward.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The policy rate increased by 50 basis points for the fourth time in a row.
    • The Bank argued that the higher inflation observed in December is a result of transitory supply factors such as the increase in the international price of food inputs and fuels, coupled with a higher exchange rate.
    • The monetary authority maintains its expectation that inflation will return to the target range (2% +/- 1%) in the second half of next year.
    • Looking forward, the Central Bank seems to consider that further monetary tightening is required, but the rhythm of adjustment should moderate.

    Geographies

    • Geography Tags
    • Peru

    Topics

    Authors

    Hugo Vega de la Cruz BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    Nota-de-politica-monetaria_20211209-1.pdf

    Spanish - December 10, 2021

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