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    Published on Friday, February 11, 2022

    Mexico | The economy is stagnant; recovery suspended

    Summary

    After the deep economic contraction that Mexico experienced in the second quarter of 2020, a recovery process began in the third quarter of that year that continued until the second of last year.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • There has been a lot of debate about whether the country's economy went into recession or not. There is no clear answer as there is no precise definition of what constitutes a recession.
    • There are several factors that explain this poorer relative performance. First, Mexico is more negatively affected by bottlenecks in global supply chains as it is a country with a high manufacturing vocation.
    • Second, the decision not to have countercyclical fiscal impulses to lessen the impact of the crisis, as a large number of countries did.
    • Third, the health response to the contingency was not optimal, which resulted in Mexico being one of the countries with the highest number of excess deaths on the planet.

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    Authors

    Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Press article (PDF)

    ArtPrensa_CarlosSerrano_10Febrero22-2.pdf

    Spanish - February 11, 2022

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