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    Published on Wednesday, April 19, 2023 | Updated on Thursday, April 27, 2023

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    Mexico | Regional Sectorial Outlook. First half 2023

    Summary

    Economic growth through 2023 will be modest and driven by services. A drop in the secondary sector (mainly via Manufacturing) is anticipated due to the slowdown in the economy. Tourist entities lead growth.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • In 2023 economic growth in most sectors will be lower than last year, but driven positively by services. Manufacturing and Transport will lack dynamism.
    • At least 15 regions will be recovered by the end of 2022. Exporting industrial and tourist entities lead the recovery.
    • In 2020, Mexican households increased their savings rate by 30.27%, as a result of sanitary restrictions and precautionary behavior.
    • Recent FDI flows suggest that Mexico is not taking full advantage of the nearshoring opportunity.

    Geographies

    Authors

    Diego López BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Homero Martínez
    Samuel Vázquez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    Mexico-Situacion-Sectorial-Regional-1S23-1.pdf

    Spanish - April 19, 2023

    Presentation (PDF)

    Presentacion-Research-Sectorial-Regional-23S1-1.pdf

    Spanish - April 19, 2023

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