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    Published on Friday, August 19, 2022

    Mexico | Headwinds will mean low growth in 2023

    Summary

    In the previous installment of this column, I analyzed the dynamics shown by the Mexican economy so far this year, which until now has been characterized by the continuation of a slow and incomplete recovery.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • It seems to me that a series of factors are brewing that will have a negative impact on the country's economic growth.
    • We are facing a process of slowdown in the US economy that will undoubtedly have a negative effect on the external sector of the Mexican economy.
    • To control inflation, the Fed is raising interest rates and reducing the size of its balance sheet in order to achieve a contraction in aggregate demand.
    • In addition, fiscal policy, especially now that the new inflation reduction law is implemented, will be less expansionary, which will also reduce aggregate demand.

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Press article (PDF)

    ArtPrensa_CarlosSerrano_18Agosto22.pdf

    Spanish - August 19, 2022

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