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    Published on Thursday, January 11, 2024

    Mexico | Employment slows down more than expected at the end of 2023...

    Summary

    In December, a loss of 385 thousand jobs was recorded, marking the strongest seasonal adjustment since 1998. Employment closed the year with an annual growth of 3.0% but was below consensus expectations. The monthly decrease in employment (-)1.7% is primarily attributed to seasonal factors.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • During 2023, 651 thousand jobs were created, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.0%. Although it exceeds the historical average by 14.5%, it fell below consensus expectations.
    • December's downward (-1.7%) is mainly attributed to seasonal factors and job losses in construction and manufacturing (56.9%), emphasizing that Hurricane "Otis" did not significantly impact the overall job loss.
    • Key sectors contributing to the annual growth were Commerce (0.8 pp), Services (0.7 pp), and Construction (0.6 pp), accounting for 70% of the growth by year-end.
    • Nuevo León, Estado de México, Sonora, and Quintana Roo stood out in employment growth throughout the year.
    • Despite high inflation, real wages maintained an annual growth of 5.6%, contributing to an 8.8% increase in the total wage bill.

    Geographies

    Authors

    David Cervantes Arenillas BBVA Research - Senior Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    MX_Reporte_Empleo_01_2024.pdf

    Spanish - January 11, 2024

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