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    Published on Thursday, January 20, 2022

    Mexico | Considerations about the credit ratings of Mexico

    Summary

    In the following years public finances will continue to be pressured by the payment of pensions still remaining from the pay-as-you-go old system, guaranteed pensions and capital injections to Pemex.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The expected stability of public debt (% of GDP) and anticipation of higher tax revenue would mitigate the risk of losing the investment grade in the next two or three years
    • The risk of a credit rating downgrade expected by markets is low

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Javier Amador BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Arnulfo Rodríguez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    Observatorio-sobre-calificacion-crediticia-de-Mexico-V4.pdf

    Spanish - January 20, 2022

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