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    Published on Monday, June 3, 2019

    Market Comment | Markets bring forward Fed rate cut expectations. ECB Preview

    Summary

    Risk-off mood prevails in financial markets as trade tensions increased concerns over a possible global recession after the threat of US tariffs extended from China to Mexico. Safe-haven bond yields fresh record lows today, while bond and equity volatility soared.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Markets' implied probability of a Fed rate cut in 2019 rose significantly to 98% in 2019.
    • The U.S ISM manufacturing disappointed, undershooting expectations.

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    Authors

    Vitor Sun Zou
    María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files


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    Report (PDF)

    MC-with-anexo-ECB-0306.pdf

    English - June 3, 2019

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