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    Published on Monday, January 12, 2015 | Updated on Monday, January 12, 2015

    Introducing a New Early Warning System Indicator (EWSI) of banking crises

    Summary

    In this paper we develop a new Early Warning System (EWS) of Banking Crises based on a new estimated indicator of the "gap" between the observed private credit ratio and its long-term structural level.

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    Authors

    Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
    Alfonso Ugarte BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    WP_EWS SystemVersion Sep2014_i

    English - January 12, 2015

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