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    Global | The COVID-19 impact on Consumption in Real Time and High Definition: 25 June

    Published on Thursday, June 25, 2020

    Big Data techniques used

    Global | The COVID-19 impact on Consumption in Real Time and High Definition: 25 June

    Summary

    This is a weekly publication based on high-frequency and high-resolution aggregated and anonymised transaction data from BBVA to analyse the dynamics in real time of expenditure in the countries where BBVA operates during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Positive growth rates consolidate in the USA and Turkey, Spanish improvement continues and LATAM’s recovery has accelerated
    • The Consumption Diffusion Heat Map continues to show recovery across countries and segments, especially in the USA, Turkey and Spain
    • E-commerce expenditure continues growing in most of the countries. As for the use of cash, it has been affected differently by country, with Peru and Spain showing similar trends between consumption with card and cash
    • The gap between the expenditure in goods and services remains. However, expenditure in services such as entertainment & restaurants keeps catching up after the lift of mobility restrictions
    • Spain’s recovery is consolidating, card expenditure rose in 42 provinces exceeding 10% yoy in 23 of them which are in Phase 3 and Phase 2 provinces are rapidly catching up led by Madrid and Barcelona. Turkey presents positive consumption rates, but still somehow constrained in the more restricted segments. In Colombia, the VAT exclusion day had a significant impact on consumption, but with differences among cities

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Vanessa Belapatiño BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Filip Blazheski
    Fernando Bolívar
    Adrian Casillas
    María Paula Castañeda
    Juan Ramón García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Berk Orkun Isa
    Juan Manuel Manías BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
    Tomasa Rodrigo BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Pep Ruiz BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Saide Aránzazu Salazar BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files


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    Presentation (PDF)

    Weekly_Big_Data_25thJun.pdf

    English - June 25, 2020

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