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    Global | The COVID-19 impact on Consumption in Real Time and High Definition: 16 July

    Published on Thursday, July 16, 2020

    Big Data techniques used

    Global | The COVID-19 impact on Consumption in Real Time and High Definition: 16 July

    Summary

    This is a weekly publication based on high-frequency and high-resolution aggregated and anonymised transaction data from BBVA to analyse the dynamics in real time of expenditure in the countries where BBVA operates during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The pace of recovery consolidates in the USA and Europe, but moderates somewhat in Latam
    • The Consumption Diffusion Heat Map shows July’s outlook clarifies
    • Transport and restaurants catch up rapidly after the lift of mobility restrictions, specially in Europe
    • The gap between e-commerce growth and physical purchases remains, but it is narrowing in some countries. The difference between consumption in food and the rest is returning to normality
    • In Spain, the spending recovery “clearly” consolidates: consumption by card rose in 49 out of 52 provinces with growth rates accelerating in most of them and, while the recovery is consolidating among national consumers, foreign expenditure started to correct too. Turkey’s recovery broadens, hotel expenditure and machinery investment have joined it

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Vanessa Belapatiño BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Filip Blazheski
    Fernando Bolívar
    Adrian Casillas
    María Paula Castañeda
    Juan Ramón García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Berk Orkun Isa
    Juan Manuel Manías BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
    Tomasa Rodrigo BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Pep Ruiz BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Saide Aránzazu Salazar BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Presentation (PDF)

    Weekly_Big_Data_16thJul.pdf

    English - July 16, 2020

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