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    Published on Friday, November 20, 2020 | Updated on Friday, November 20, 2020

    Global | Impact of COVID-19 on the banking sector

    Summary

    The crisis caused by COVID-19 is showing its first impacts on the banking sector. Our analysis assesses the impact on the sector of seven factors and its trends: monetary policy, digitalization, regulation, economic growth, new entrants, competitive landscape and government support.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • A swift and coordinated response from monetary, fiscal and regulatory authorities has been key to address the consequences of the COVID-19 crisis. These measures (heterogeneous by countries) have supported credit growth and have mitigated the initial negative impact.
    • Early effects on the banking sector are mainly a decline in profitability, cost control, without signs of asset quality deterioration yet and sound capital and liquidity levels.
    • Four key features are identified for post COVID-19 winners in the banking industry: a) embrace digitalization; b) adapt to clients’ needs; c) increase efficiency; d) revenue diversification.

    Geographies

    Authors

    Deniz Ergun BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Olga Gouveia BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Cristian Lles
    Virginia Marcos Herreros BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Fernando Soto
    Jaime Zurita BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Presentation (PDF)

    Outlook_of_the_banking_system_WB.pdf

    English - November 20, 2020

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