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    Published on Thursday, February 7, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, February 7, 2019

    Global Economic Risk Outlook. First quarter 2019

    Summary

    The balance of risks has deteriorated on the back of growth concerns in the US and China. A global trade war continues to be relevant despite the current truce, while a resurface of debt tensions in the Eurozone should not be ruled out yet due to high political instability. On a positive note, the U-turn in the Fed’s stance reduces the likelihood of overshooting.

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    Authors

    Sara Baliña
    Julián Cubero BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Rodolfo Méndez-Marcano
    Jorge Redondo

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    Report (PDF)

    Global_Economic_Risk_Outlook_1q19

    English - February 7, 2019

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