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    Global | Continued soft landing with differentiations across the three large economies

    Published on Monday, November 19, 2018 | Updated on Wednesday, November 21, 2018

    Global | Continued soft landing with differentiations across the three large economies

    Summary

    Lower prospects for global growth with mixed data across regions in 3Q18, as the US keeps outperforming while quarterly figures disappoint in China and the EZ. Global trade remains solid, but partly reflects the frontloading of Chinese exports to avoid further tariffs early next year. Our BBVA-GAIN model suggests growth will keep adjusting in 4Q18 to around 0.9% q/q.

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    Authors

    Rodrigo Falbo BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Agustín García BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Iñaki Martínez
    María Moraga Fernández

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    1811-Global-Economic-Watch

    English - November 19, 2018

    Report (PDF)

    1811-Observatorio-Global

    Spanish - November 19, 2018

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