Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. November 28, 2023

The recent truce extension between Hamas and Israel, following extensive diplomatic talks involving multiple nations, led to Hamas releasing 17 hostages in Gaza, including a 4-year-old American girl. In return, Israel freed 39 Palestinian prisoners. This was part of the ongoing negotiations aiming to maintain the ceasefire.

Key points

• Key points:
• Geopolitical & Conflict sentiment indexes softened in the Middle East, but still at high risk in most of the countries (Egypt returned to neutral). Some EU countries (Italy, UK & Spain) picked up on rising diplomatic tensions with Israel.
• Political Indexes remain neutral in most of the countries with some exceptions in the Middle East (Israel and Egypt)
• Protest Indexes have been benefited with the truce in the Middle East, where most countries returned to normal. In EU countries the situation is calm, although still high indexes in some of them (UK & Spain for local reasons).
• The Economic Policy Uncertainty remains resilient since the beginning of the conflict helped by recent Central Bank decisions and the displacement of economic news to conflict ones.

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