Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. January 30, 2024

The deadliest attack on Israeli forces in Gaza since the war's onset killed 21 soldiers, escalating the Israel-Gaza conflict. Calls for a ceasefire intensified, involving the CIA, Israeli Intelligence, and Qatar. The ICJ ruled against Israel for potential genocide, criticized by Israel, complicating peace efforts.

Key points

• Key points:
• Israel accused UNRWA staff of involvement in Hamas attacks on October 7. Consequently, several EU countries and others, including Australia, Finland, Italy, the Netherlands, the UK, and the US, have suspended funding to UNRWA. Austria and Lithuania recently joined this list.
• CIA and Mossad officials are set to meet with Qatari representatives in Europe to negotiate a deal for captives' release in Gaza and establish a truce, targeting the longest halt in hostilities.
• Yemeni forces target western ships in the Red Sea amid rising US-Iran tensions following a drone strike in Jordan that killed three US service members. President Biden and Defense Secretary Austin warned of retaliation against Iran-backed militants responsible for the attack.
• Middle East tensions persist alongside rising protest indicators in Europe for various reasons. Ongoing high-risk demonstrations in some emerging countries. Ecuador remains at risk for protests, and Argentina is experiencing renewed protests against its economic policy.

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