Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. December 18, 2024

Ukraine kills top Russian General in Moscow. Turkey's military buildup near Syria. German chancellor loses the vote of confidence.

Key points

• Key points:
• Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) carried out a high-profile operation in Moscow, killing Lt. Gen. Igor Kirillov, head of Russia’s Radiological, Chemical, and Biological Defense Troops, with a scooter rigged with explosives.
• Senior U.S. officials are concerned about Turkey’s military buildup near the Syrian border, suggesting a possible incursion into Kurdish-held areas.
• Scholz lost a historic vote of confidence in Germany’s Bundestag, paving the way for an early federal election expected on February 23, 2025.

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