Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. December 18, 2024

Summary

Ukraine kills top Russian General in Moscow. Turkey's military buildup near Syria. German chancellor loses the vote of confidence.

Key points

• Key points:
• Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) carried out a high-profile operation in Moscow, killing Lt. Gen. Igor Kirillov, head of Russia’s Radiological, Chemical, and Biological Defense Troops, with a scooter rigged with explosives.
• Senior U.S. officials are concerned about Turkey’s military buildup near the Syrian border, suggesting a possible incursion into Kurdish-held areas.
• Scholz lost a historic vote of confidence in Germany’s Bundestag, paving the way for an early federal election expected on February 23, 2025.

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