Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. April 9, 2024

Summary

Israel, under U.S. pressure, adjusts Gaza tactics to minimize civilian casualties and aid the return of displaced persons. This shift from intense southern operations aims to balance military goals with ethical standards, highlighting the U.S. emphasis on avoiding strategic losses through civilian protection.

Key points

• Key points:
• Geopolitical and conflict levels continue to rise in the Middle East, particularly in Iran, Israel, and Egypt, which are considered high-risk areas. In contrast, Saudi Arabia and the US are categorized in the neutral risk zone.
• The EU is actively working to provide aid to Ukraine. The UK and France are pressing the US, highlighting global scrutiny regarding the support for Ukraine. They caution that a victory for Russian President Putin in Ukraine would be a loss for everyone.
• Geopolitical tensions in Latin America have escalated, particularly between Mexico and Ecuador, after Mexico cut diplomatic ties with Ecuador due to an embassy-related incident. Meanwhile, the Middle East remains volatile with ongoing conflicts and high geopolitical risks.
• Geopolitical and political tensions have escalated in Latin America, particularly in Ecuador and Mexico, following a police raid on the Mexican embassy in Ecuador aimed at arresting former Vice President Jorge Glas. This action has sparked condemnation from opposition parties within the country.

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