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    Eurozone | GDP growth still slows gradually, but high uncertainty could take its toll

    Published on Friday, December 21, 2018 | Updated on Monday, December 24, 2018

    Eurozone | GDP growth still slows gradually, but high uncertainty could take its toll

    Summary

    According to our MICA model the Eurozone could grow around 0.4% QoQ in 4T18. However, low global demand and high uncertainty are weighing on activity. Hard data improved during October driven by lower inflation, higher wages, increasing production in capital goods and rise in exports. Nevertheless, confidence indicators are worsening by year end.

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    Authors

    Pedro Ezquiaga
    Rodrigo Falbo BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Agustín García BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    María Moraga Fernández

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    1812-Eurozone_Watch

    English - December 21, 2018

    Report (PDF)

    1812-Observatorio_Eurozona

    Spanish - December 21, 2018

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