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    Published on Thursday, September 14, 2023

    Europe | The ECB signals the end of the hiking cycle

    Summary

    It is clear that after this hike the ECB is prepared for a long pause and probably the end of the hiking cycle, although further rate hikes cannot be completely ruled out as inflation could surprise to the upside and the ECB has said that it remains in a data-dependent mode.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The ECB raises key interest rates by 25 bps, but not by unanimity
    • Future decisions will depend on data, with an emphasis on the expectation that rates will remain high for a long period
    • Growth projections have been substantially revised downwards, while inflation was revised slightly upwards

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Carlos Castellano BBVA Research - Economist
    Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    ECB-Watch-0923.pdf

    English - September 14, 2023

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