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    Published on Tuesday, June 9, 2020

    Europe | The ECB doubles down

    Summary

    Three months after approving a Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP) for an initial EUR 750 billion in response to the COVID-19 crisis, at its most recent meeting, the European Central Bank (ECB) agreed to expand the program by a further EUR 600 billion.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • With this new amount—and with the official extension of the program until mid-2021—the ECB guarantees heavy duty intervention for another year, until the post-COVID-19 economic outlook is much clearer.
    • The new measure means that the central bank will remain very active in both the sovereign and the corporate bond markets.
    • In its forecasts, the ECB's new base scenario forecasts an 8.7% decline in GDP this year, with two alternative scenarios predicting falls of 5.9% and 12.6%.
    • The ECB also strongly supports the European Commission's recovery fund proposal.

    Geographies

    Authors

    Sonsoles Castillo BBVA Research - Chief Economist for Financial and Economic Analysis
    Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist

    Documents and files

    Press article (PDF)

    Sonsoles_Castillo_Miguel_Jimenez_El_BCE_dobla_la_apuesta_Expansion_WB.pdf

    Spanish - June 9, 2020

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