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    Published on Thursday, January 25, 2024

    Europe | The ECB does not close the door to early rate cuts

    Summary

    All in all, today's ECB meeting did not provide much new information. As anticipated, no change in interest rates was decided. The focus was on the ECB's tone about the timing of initial rate cuts. The conveyed message was relatively dovish, with Lagarde not ruling out an early cut

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The ECB keeps rates steady, as broadly expected
    • Discussion of rate cuts is seen as premature, but Pres. Lagarde does not close the door to rate cuts in the second quarter
    • The ECB seems a moderately less worried on inflation dynamics

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Carlos Castellano BBVA Research - Economist
    Pedro Lomo Menéndez BBVA Research
    María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    ECB-Watch-0124.pdf

    English - January 25, 2024

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