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    Published on Thursday, July 18, 2024

    Europe | The decision for a September rate cut is wide open

    Summary

    As expected, the ECB leaves its monetary policy unchanged and leaves the door open for a rate cut at the next meeting in September, awaiting for more data on wages, profit margins and productivity that confirm its inflation outlook.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The ECB keeps rates steady, as broadly expected
    • The guidance on rates remains unchanged, with the ECB not pre-committing to a particular path
    • The ECB seems to be more worried on growth dynamics and reiterates the one-off nature of the recovery in real wages as a driver for the stickiness of service prices

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Carlos Castellano BBVA Research - Economist
    María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    ECB-Watch-0724.pdf

    English - July 18, 2024

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