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    Europe | ECB: New tool aids bold exit from negative rates as inflation risks intensify

    Published on Thursday, July 21, 2022

    Europe | ECB: New tool aids bold exit from negative rates as inflation risks intensify

    Summary

    Today decision, this combination of faster rate hikes and a new instrument is most welcome as it signals ECB’s decisive yet prudent approach to monetary policy making in a limiting and highly uncertain environment.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • All key benchmark interest rates were hiked by 50 bps, larger than previously signaled, justified by high inflation risks, and introduction of a new policy tool
    • The Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) was introduced to address fragmentation risk. All countries will be eligible under four conditional criteria
    • Economic outlook has evolved towards deceleration, while inflation pressures have broadened. But a potential recession is yet not included for neither this year nor the next one.

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    Topics

    Authors

    Javier Castro Sotelo
    Sumedh Deorukhkar BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    ECB-Watch-0722.pdf

    English - July 21, 2022

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