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    Published on Thursday, July 22, 2021

    ECB WATCH | Dovish and hawkish tones in the same package

    Summary

    ECB’s first policy meeting after its monetary policy strategy review was marked by a lack of unanimity, likely reflecting an intense discussion between the doves and the hawks.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Changes in forward guidance on rates towards a more dovish exit, given stronger conditions to ensure that inflation meets the new target
    • However, there was no decision on QE and a potential transition to avoid the cliff of PEPP withdrawal in March 2022, as it was expected
    • Risks are balance on an outlook which is more positive but with the uncertainty of the Delta variant of Covid

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Sonsoles Castillo BBVA Research - Chief Economist for Financial and Economic Analysis
    Sumedh Deorukhkar BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files


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    Report (PDF)

    ECB-Watch-0721.pdf

    English - July 22, 2021

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