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    Published on Thursday, October 28, 2021

    ECB stands ground against early lift-off, stresses temporality of inflation

    Summary

    The ECB deliberated substantially on two key topical issues concerning markets - 1) the central bank’s view on the drivers and durability of ongoing inflation pressures and 2) the disconnect between ECB’s forward guidance on rates and the market’s timeframe for a lift-off.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • ECB sees inflation pressures lasting longer than anticipated but easing over 2022
    • It delves on the disconnect between ECB’s forward guidance on rates and market expectations of the lift-off timeframe
    • PEPP is expected to end next March, with recalibration of the instruments to be in place at the December meeting

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Sumedh Deorukhkar BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Note (PDF)

    ECB-Watch-1021.pdf

    English - October 28, 2021

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