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    Published on Thursday, February 9, 2023 | Updated on Thursday, February 9, 2023

    Crosswinds for Latin America and Colombia

    Summary

    The Latin American economy faces crosswinds in a scenario of disequilibrium, in line with international dynamics, where the main economic variables are still adjusting after the disruptive events of the most recent years.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Inflation slows down in the region, showing turning points in some of the economies, but remains high compared to its historical levels, generating pressures in the countries.
    • Central banks have raised intervention rates significantly. It is estimated that in countries such as Argentina and Mexico, intervention rates have not reached their ceiling yet.
    • In line with global dynamics, growth slowdowns are forecast for the region's economies, with a more pronounced impact expected in Argentina and a smaller one in Uruguay.
    • The external imbalance remains high for Latin America as a result of insufficient fiscal adjustments.

    Authors

    Juana Téllez BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Presentation (PDF)

    20230209_Congreso_Tesoreria_Asobancaria.pdf

    Spanish - February 9, 2023

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