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    Global | COP28: Real gains if fully implemented, but transformative action is still needed

    Published on Monday, December 18, 2023 | Updated on Wednesday, December 20, 2023

    Global | COP28: Real gains if fully implemented, but transformative action is still needed

    Summary

    If fully implemented, the better-than-expected outcome of COP28 should represent not negligible progress towards the Paris Agreement goal. However, much more is needed to achieve them.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • What was the climate situation before COP28? Need for decisive actions. GHG emissions are at record high, and their intensity decline is too slow, policies are slowing down and the Global Stocktake shows that challenges persist in closing both ambition and implementation gaps.
    • What were the expectations at the beginning of the COP28? Ambitious COP proposals with a lack of detail due to different country goals. Geopolitics favors that the EU, the US, and China focus on emissions neutrality, but at different rhythms, tools and against the opposition of oil producers.
    • What has been the final outcome? Positive advances beyond the first call to "transition away from fossil fuels". The trade-off between consensus and binding decisions favors reaching agreements, even if implementation details remain pending

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Joxe Mari Barrutiabengoa BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Julián Cubero BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Nara González BBVA Research
    Pilar Más Rodríguez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Diego Pérez González BBVA Research

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    231215-ECW-COP28.pdf

    English - December 18, 2023

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