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    Published on Thursday, October 29, 2020 | Updated on Thursday, October 29, 2020

    Colombia | The path of gradual recovery with great opportunities and challenges

    Summary

    Colombia is already in the process of recovery. Low interest rates and government policies will help reactivate private demand. The fiscal effort should focus on the activities with the most impulse over the others.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Consumption has been recovering gradually, with reversoparcial in August on behalf of regional quarantines
    • Employment has gradually recovered since May when the strict quarantine ends.
    • Countercyclical policies and lower revenues increase the government deficit in 2020 and 2021
    • By the end of 2022, the level that GDP had in 2019 will recover
    • Banrep would leave the interest rate stable until mid-2022

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Juana Téllez BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Presentation (PDF)

    JTellezIPDALOct20.pdf

    Spanish - October 29, 2020

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