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    Published on Friday, August 23, 2019 | Updated on Saturday, August 24, 2019

    Colombia | The night is darker when we close our eyes

    Summary

    A possible recession in the US economy has led to a change in the language and direction of the monetary policy of major central banks around the world. The signals emitted by the global economy produced a risk scenario that was reflected in the purchase of safe-haven assets.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The American economy is expected to slow down, with the average analysts betting on the growth of 2.3% in 2019 and 1.8% in 2020.
    • The investment in the yield curve generated by the massive purchase of US treasuries anticipates a weaker economy in the future.
    • If the United States doesn't go into recession, perhaps the global cycle will also be more moderate than analysts discount today.

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    Topics

    Authors

    Alejandro Reyes González BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files

    Press article (PDF)

    Colombia_La-noche-es-más-oscura-cuando-cerramos-los-ojos.pdf

    Spanish - August 23, 2019

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