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    Published on Thursday, November 19, 2020

    Colombia | On the road to the recovery of the Colombian economy

    Summary

    In LatAm, confinements have begun to be reduced and new infections showed lower levels, although they are still high. In Colombia there was an important reactivation of the economy in the third quarter. The recovery will continue, although at a gradual pace.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • By the end of 2022, it will recover the level of GDP in 2019.
    • Consumption of basic goods remains strong.
    • The investment would have had its greatest deterioration in the second quarter of the year and from there began its gradual recovery
    • Unemployment will decrease slowly and its return to the pre-pandemic level will be gradual due to the conditions of the market and the recovery
    • The estimated inflation for 2021 and 2022 close to the 3% target would allow Banrep to maintain its rates until 2Q 2022

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Mauricio Hernández BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Juana Téllez BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Presentation (PDF)

    JTellezForoCamacolNov2020.pdf

    Spanish - November 19, 2020

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