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    Published on Friday, November 3, 2023

    Colombia | An inconvenient "El niño"

    Summary

    The El Niño phenomenon, which is forecast for the end of the year, will pressure inflation. However, the effects on the economy will depend on the intensity of the event: a weak El Niño will have little impact, while a strong one will have an impact on inflation.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • There are three elements of concern in Colombia in the face of the El Niño phenomenon: 1) The current high level of inflation, 2) The effects on food inflation and 3) The energy issue.
    • It is necessary to prepare for the El Niño phenomenon, following the recommendations of the entities in charge and seeking guidelines to avoid a crisis in the energy sector.

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Laura Katherine Peña Cardozo BBVA Research - Economist

    Documents and files

    Audio (M4A)

    Columna-20231103-El-Nino-Inoportuno.m4a

    Spanish - November 3, 2023

    Press article (PDF)

    Columna-economica-20231103.pdf

    Spanish - November 3, 2023

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