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    Published on Thursday, September 30, 2021

    China | What’s behind the recent electricity crunch?

    Summary

    All eyes on China's electricity crunch. We analyze the reasons, the authorities' possible actions and economic impact of the recent power shortage.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The most direct reason relates to the incentive problem between power plants and coal mining companies.
    • The authorities' aggressive carbon neutrality target and its assignment to local governments is an important reason behind.
    • The current electricity ration is more like an alarming call for China on its way to meet its carbon neutrality promise.
    • The problem can be fixed given Chinese governments' super powerful intervention capability.
    • The economic impact is all about inflation transmission, domestically and globally as well as production capacity reduction.

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Jinyue Dong BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Le Xia BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Report (PDF)

    20210930_China_recent-electricity-crunch.pdf

    English - September 30, 2021

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