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Published on Thursday, October 25, 2018

China Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2018

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Summary

2018 Q3 GDP moderated to 6.5% y/y, down from the previous reading at 6.7% y/y and the market consensus. This suggests the economy further moderated amid the escalation of trade war and domestic deleveraging. The growth slowdown has prompted the authorities to reverse their previous neutral stance of policy to pro-growth so as to offset domestic and external headwinds.