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    Published on Tuesday, July 14, 2020

    China | A Genuine V-Shaped Recovery?

    Summary

    The Asian giant's effectiveness in containing COVID-19 infections has borne fruit and economic activity began regaining strength during the second quarter, partly owing to the fiscal and monetary stimuli implemented by the authorities.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • GDP fell 6.8% in the first quarter, having grown at a rate of 6% in the final quarter of 2019.
    • The recovery can be attributed to the surge in supply brought about by the return of workers to factories following the lockdown.
    • However, demand has not recovered so strongly and is dependent on the global cycle.
    • Growth in 2020 could reach 2.2%, above the 1% forecast by the IMF.

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Jinyue Dong BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Le Xia BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Press article (PDF)

    LeXia_JinyueDong_China_una_verdadera_recuperacion_en_V_Expansion_WB.pdf

    Spanish - July 14, 2020

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