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    Published on Monday, November 2, 2020

    Big Data techniques used

    Argentina | Real-time consumption monitoring (Nov 2, 2020)

    Summary

    Consumption continued to contract in the second half of October. The official data on purchases in supermarkets confirms the shrinkage in spending captured by our real-time indicator.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Total expenditure made with our clients' cards fell significantly in the last weekly measurement.
    • Consumption associated with tourism continues to outline a gradual path of growth, while categories benefited by the pandemic situation pointed to a significant contraction.
    • Official supermarket sales data for August confirmed the decline captured by our real-time indicator. These expenditures are expected to remain flat in September and October.
    • Our real-time consumption measurement is found to be highly correlated with industry energy demand, thus enhancing the power as a leading indicator.

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Mario Iparraguirre BBVA Research - Senior Economist
    Juan Manuel Manías BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files


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    Presentation (PDF)

    20201102-Semanal-Argentina.pdf

    Spanish - November 2, 2020

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