An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response in Eurasian Countries
Published on Friday, June 19, 2015 | Updated on Thursday, November 19, 2015
Document number 15/20
An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response in Eurasian Countries
Summary
This paper shows an empirical assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics in the Eurasian countries. We use a Big Database of social events (GDELT) to build several real time indexes of different stages of social unrest escalation consistent with the Unrest Lifecycle Theory and together with alternative measures of the state response.
Topics
- Topic Tags
- Geostrategy
Authors
Gonzalo De Cadenas Santiago
Alicia García-Herrero
Alvaro Ortiz
BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
Tomasa Rodrigo
BBVA Research - Lead Economist
Documents and files
Report (PDF)
Working paper 15.20 An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response
English - June 19, 2015