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    BBVA Research

    Our featured publications

    January 22, 2025

    Mexico | Trump 2.0 Mass Deportation: A Low Probability Event

    On the first day of the Trump 2.0 administration, at least 7 executive orders or proclamations were issued regarding immigration issues, making clear the importance of this issue for his government.

    January 20, 2025

    Spain | Spain - U.S. trade relations in the face of possible tariff increases

    The direct impact on the Spanish economy of a possible increase in tariffs on U.S. imports is expected to be limited, given the relatively lower trade exposure with respect to the rest of the Eurozone countries. However, there are regions, sectors and companies that may be particularly affected.

    December 23, 2024

    Spain | 2024 Regional Economic Yearbook of Catalonia

    With 30 editions already published, the BBVA Regional Economic Yearbook is the most detailed and complete report on the economy of the regions of Catalonia. Online access through a digital portal is a new feature this year. The increase in Catalonia’s GVA in 2023 (2.9%) has already brought it back to pre-pandemic levels.

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    Our most recent publications

    January 28, 2025

    US | Labor and Immigration Upheaval: Worker Shortages, Higher Wages?

    Notwithstanding BBVA Research's assessment that widespread deportations are improbable and that significant deviations in migration trends —beyond those tied to economic cycles and labor demand— are unlikely, a chilling effect could nonetheless materialize.

    January 27, 2025

    US | Fed to remain cautious as probable tariffs cast a shadow on monetary policy easing

    The risk has grown that the Fed could keep rates on hold for more than one meeting as the nature and purpose of the upcoming tariffs is still unknown (i.e., their magnitude, their temporary or permanent nature, used mostly as a negotiating tool?).

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