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December 19, 2024
With “the story of why inflation should be coming down [...] still intact,” the main reason behind today’s hawkish shift is likely the growing concern around the potential inflationary impact of Trump’s proposed trade, fiscal, and immigration policies.
December 16, 2024
Although they will continue to formally stay out of the debate around Trump 2.0, it is likely that several FOMC participants have begun to incorporate into their thinking some of the obvious effects of potential trade, fiscal and immigration policies.
December 3, 2024
Book product of a collaboration between the National Population Council (CONAPO), BBVA Foundation and BBVA Research. This twelfth edition presents in ten chapters the main data and indicators on migration, human mobility and remittances on a regional and global scale, with emphasis on Mexico.
November 28, 2024
Part of the rise in Treasury yields is also explained by a higher term premium, which has likely been driven by greater uncertainty around the US inflation and fiscal outlook in the following years amid Trump’s potential trade, tax and migration policies.
November 18, 2024
Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential elections. What's more, the Republicans will hold the majority of both houses, allowing them to push through their fiscal plans. What promises has he made and, if he delivers them, how could they impact the global economy?
November 14, 2024
Energy consumption is vital for understanding a country's economic, environmental, and social dynamics. This analysis explores key trends in national energy usage in the United States and offers a comparison of energy consumption among its states, highlighting their diverse impacts on the overall trends.
November 8, 2024
We continue to think that the rate cut cycle still has legs, but following the outcome of the election the Fed will likely end the cycle sooner than previously thought on greater inflationary challenges under Trump’s potential policies.
November 5, 2024
FOMC members will likely continue to signal that their plan continues to be a gradual normalization of the fed funds rate. They are likely to agree to continue normalizing the monetary stance with more cautious 25bp rate cuts.
November 1, 2024
Remittances show high volatility in the first 9 months of 2024: 5 months with growth and 4 months with falls. Possibly, the tense electoral environment in the US has an impact on the flow of new migrants and the migrant population residing in that country.
