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January 29, 2025
Activity grew again by 0.8% q/q in 4Q24, driven by domestic demand despite weak net external demand. GDP growth was supported by an increase in hours worked, as productivity declined. Overall, GDP expanded by 3.2% in 2024, exceeding forecasts.
January 29, 2025
The reactivation of the economy after the dana and the measures approved justify that in 2025 and 2026 growth could reach 2.7% if the aid arrives quickly and reaches the announced amount. Domestic demand will be supported by the fall in inflation and interest rates and by the increase in wages and employment.
January 28, 2025
Seasonally adjusted data shows a significant increase in both employment (0.8% q/q) and hours worked (1.2% q/q). The unemployment rate dropped to 10.8%, and the temporary employment rate decreased to 15.5%. In 2024, 471,700 jobs were created (2.2%), reducing the unemployment rate to 11.3%.
January 27, 2025
Artificial intelligence (AI) aims to transform a multitude of fields of knowledge, emerging as a general-purpose technology (GPT). In terms of productivity, economic growth, and the labor market, the effect of AI is limited at present, and there is extensive debate regarding its future impact.
January 27, 2025
There are currently seven autonomous regions of Spain without a budget (rolled over), in territories where the population represents 43% of the total in Spain. In addition, the central government is still working with the 2023 budget.
January 23, 2025
In 2024, growth is revised upwards due to the boost in domestic consumption and tourism. The end of the drought, the improvement of the European economy, and the reduction of interest rates will help sustain growth, affected by the impact of the dana and possible changes in tariff policy in the US.
January 20, 2025
The direct impact on the Spanish economy of a possible increase in tariffs on U.S. imports is expected to be limited, given the relatively lower trade exposure with respect to the rest of the Eurozone countries. However, there are regions, sectors and companies that may be particularly affected.
January 20, 2025
Economic growth, inequality, and zero-sum thinking form a triangle that has shaped societies over the years. The historical transition from a subsistence economy to one of sustained growth has transformed social perceptions of wealth and how it is distributed.
January 13, 2025
Despite the high GDP growth rate of the Spanish economy (3.1% forecast for 2024) and a buoyant employment outlook (2.4% year-on-year growth in Social Security affiliation in December), the pension system has not yet managed to reduce its high structural deficit.
January 9, 2025
This Working Paper provides a brief description of the latest update of RegData, a database containing the main economic and demographic aggregates for Spanish regions over the last seven decades.
January 7, 2025
Spanish companies have reduced their debt over the past decade, largely due to a contraction in bank credit. The performance of this type of credit has been negatively influenced by demand-side factors, especially weak levels of investment.
