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April 9, 2025
Spain | Missed opportunities
The public deficit looks to have ended 2024 at 2.8% of GDP (excluding the funds set aside to support the victims of the flash floods that struck in October). It is exactly the size of the fiscal imbalance recorded back in 2019.
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April 7, 2025
Global | Tariffs: a misguided shock therapy
In the 21st century, history is again being challenged by a wave of protectionism from the United States. President Donald Trump has just announced a barrage of tariffs that marks the country's biggest protectionist offensive in almost a century.
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April 7, 2025
Spain | Employment on the rise, productivity slowing
The latest Social Security enrollment figures for March come as welcome news for the Spanish economy, yet they are also a timely reminder that job creation alone is not enough in itself: we also need it to be more productive.
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April 2, 2025
Spain | Labor market resilience in March consolidates a positive quarter
Social Security affiliation increased by 161,500 people, and unemployment fell by 13,300. Seasonally adjusted figures show that contributors rose by 44,000 and the number of unemployed decreased by 8,000. In 1Q25, affiliation grew by 0.6% q/q (0.5% in 4Q24), and unemployment dropped by 1.9% q/q (-1.2% in 4Q24).
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April 1, 2025
Spain | Madrid Economic Outlook 2025
In 2024, Madrid' GDP could have grown by 3.1%, and is expected to increase by 2.8% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026. This strength is attributed to the robust performance of the services sector, particularly in tourism, as well as the domestic demand, where consumer spending has been increasing its weight.
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March 26, 2025
Spain | GDP grew by 0.8% QoQ in 4Q24, ending 2024 with an increase of 3.2%
Activity grew again by 0.8% QoQ in 4Q24, driven by domestic demand despite sluggish external demand. GDP growth was supported by increased hours worked, as productivity declined. Overall, GDP grew by 3.2% in 2024, and BBVA Research forecast growth of around 2.8% for 2025.
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March 26, 2025
Spain | Balearic Islands Economic Outlook. 2025
In 2024, the Balearic Islands' GDP could have grown by 3.5%, and is expected to increase by 3.2% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. This strength is explained by foreign tourism, which remains strong but is approaching the limits of its capacity, and by domestic demand in which consumption is beginning to gain prominence.
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March 26, 2025
Spain | Fiscal Watch. March 2025
The deficit is estimated to have stood at 3.3% of GDP at the end of 2024, and is projected to decline to 2.7% in 2025 and 2.4% in 2026. Compliance with fiscal rules would entail a slightly tighter fiscal stance over the 2025–2026 period.
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March 26, 2025
Spain | Green skills: what they are, who holds them, and why they matter
Green skills account for 4% of employment in Spain between 2015 and 2024, in line with the EU-27 average. However, the profile of workers with green skills varies by skill type. Those with knowledge in renewable energy or environmental policies tend to be younger and more educated.
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