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February 17, 2025
GDP grew 4.9% y/y in December. By productive sectors, the primary component stood out (+9.0%) due to the strong expansion of the fishing sector and the advance of the agricultural sector. On the non-primary component side, it grew 3.3%. With the December result, GDP grew 4.2% in Q4 and 3.3% in 2024.
February 5, 2025
The Big Data Private Consumption Index recorded a 9.3% yoy growth in January, accelerating compared to December and November. The increase in household spending occurred in a context where the labor market maintained a strong performance throughout the last quarter of 2024.
February 3, 2025
The consumer price index contracted 0.09% m/m in January. The result for the month is mainly explained by the seasonal normalization after the end of the year holidays (price of poultry products and transportation rates). The interannual inflation rate was 1.9% in January.
January 15, 2025
Activity advanced 3.9% year-on-year in November. By productive sectors, the primary component stood out, and within this the growth of the fishing sector stands out, which is due to the greater extraction of anchovy. This also had a significant positive impact on primary manufacturing, which processes this resource.
January 13, 2025
The Big Data Private Consumption Index continued to decelerate its year-over-year growth, registering 6.4% in December. This slowdown reflects the waning impact of pension fund withdrawals by households, which had provided a temporary boost through October.
January 10, 2025
In its January meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains slightly above neutral.
January 6, 2025
The consumer price index increased 0.11% m/m in December. The month’s result is explained by the seasonal increase in transportation prices, while on the other hand food prices decreased. The year-on-year inflation rate was 2.0% in December (center of the BCRP target range).
December 16, 2024
Activity advanced 3.4% year-on-year in October. By productive sectors, the behavior of the non-primary component of GDP stood out, which registered an expansion of 4.2% and within this the sustained improvement of non-primary manufacturing (greater manufacturing of consumer and capital goods), construction and trade.
December 13, 2024
In its December meeting, the Board of the Central Bank kept the reference interest rate at 5.00%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the ex-ante real reference rate, remains contractionary.
December 11, 2024
The Big Data Private Consumption Index slowed its growth in November in a context where no additional pension fund withdrawals took place (these occurred between June and October), reducing consumer liquidity.
December 4, 2024
The Peruvian economy will grow 3,1% in 2024, 0,2pp more than expected in October. The revision mainly reflects the third quarter positive surprise. For 2025 we expect a 2,7% expansion, amid a challenging external context, but also when large infrastructure projects will begin construction.
