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January 31, 2025
Colombia | The positive signs of the sovereign rating
Standard & Poor’s reaffirmed Colombia’s sovereign rating at BB+ with a negative outlook, highlighting economic recovery despite fiscal deterioration. The key now is sustainable growth, driven by investment. The next challenge will be Moody’s review, which still keeps Colombia at investment grade.
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January 24, 2025
Colombia | Remittances Matter, and They Matter a Lot for Latin America
Remittances sent by Latin Americans from abroad are becoming more significant, accounting for 2.3% of the GDP of Latin America and the Caribbean. In 2024, these flows reached $160.9 billion, increasing $7.7 billion compared to 2023. Remittances affect the well-being of their recipients and reflect migration dynamics.
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January 22, 2025
Mexico | Trump 2.0 Mass Deportation: A Low Probability Event
On the first day of the Trump 2.0 administration, at least 7 executive orders or proclamations were issued regarding immigration issues, highlighting the importance of this issue for his government.
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January 15, 2025
Peru | GDP growth accelerated in November and positively surprised
Activity advanced 3.9% year-on-year in November. By productive sectors, the primary component stood out, and within this the growth of the fishing sector stands out, which is due to the greater extraction of anchovy. This also had a significant positive impact on primary manufacturing, which processes this resource.
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January 13, 2025
Peru | Tracking consumption with real-time data in December 2024
The Big Data Private Consumption Index continued to decelerate its year-over-year growth, registering 6.4% in December. This slowdown reflects the waning impact of pension fund withdrawals by households, which had provided a temporary boost through October.
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January 10, 2025
Colombia | Savings: The cornerstone of economic progress
Colombia’s domestic savings reached 15.4% of GDP in Q3 2024, driven by the private sector. Yet, the annual average of 11.3% reveals structural challenges. Addressing fiscal imbalances is vital to establishing savings as the foundation for sustainable growth.
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January 10, 2025
Colombia | December inflation remained unchanged, leading to a 2024 closing at 5.2%
Inflation closed the year with an annual variation of 5.20%, remaining unchanged compared to the figure recorded in November. The monthly variation was 0.46%, above the expectations of market analysts, who according to the Banco de la República survey expected a monthly variation of 0.41%.
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January 10, 2025
Peru | BCRP moves the policy rate near its neutral level, now close to that point
In its January meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains slightly above neutral.
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January 6, 2025
Peru | Inflation closed 2024 in the center of the Central Bank's target range
The consumer price index increased 0.11% m/m in December. The month’s result is explained by the seasonal increase in transportation prices, while on the other hand food prices decreased. The year-on-year inflation rate was 2.0% in December (center of the BCRP target range).
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January 2, 2025
Mexico | Remittances grow 10.6%. Will they face risks for 2025?
President-elect Trump has threatened mass deportations and greater border securitization, which could affect remittances to Mexico and LAC. However, it is a very unlikely scenario because it would affect the U.S. economy that depends on migrant labor force and increase inflation in that country.
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