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December 20, 2024
The Board of Banrep reduced its monetary policy rate by 25 bps, bringing it to 9.50%. This decision was split: 5 members in favor of the 25 bp reduction, one in favor of a 50 bp reduction and one in favor of a 75 bp reduction. This is an important change in the Board's stance, after 6 meetings with rate cuts of 50bp.
December 16, 2024
Activity advanced 3.4% year-on-year in October. By productive sectors, the behavior of the non-primary component of GDP stood out, which registered an expansion of 4.2% and within this the sustained improvement of non-primary manufacturing (greater manufacturing of consumer and capital goods), construction and trade.
December 13, 2024
In 2023, Colombia hosted 6.1 million international tourists and robust domestic tourism, contributing 2.3% to GDP. By 2026, over 7 million visitors are projected. Despite challenges in infrastructure, security, and sustainability, the sector shows remarkable potential.
December 13, 2024
In its December meeting, the Board of the Central Bank kept the reference interest rate at 5.00%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the ex-ante real reference rate, remains contractionary.
December 11, 2024
The Big Data Private Consumption Index slowed its growth in November in a context where no additional pension fund withdrawals took place (these occurred between June and October), reducing consumer liquidity.
December 7, 2024
In November, monthly inflation was 0.27%, with an annual rate of 5.20%, consistent with our expectations and closely aligned with market analysts’ projections, which, according to the Central Bank of Colombia's survey, anticipated a monthly variation of 0.21%. This result is 21 basis points below the previous month's figure
December 6, 2024
BBVA Research forecasts GDP growth in Colombia of 2.0% in 2024, 2.5% in 2025, and 3.2% in 2026, driven by recovering domestic demand, lower interest rates, and reduced inflation. Consumption and investment will gain momentum, while the external deficit will be financed by FDI.
December 5, 2024
GDP will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 3.2% in 2026, driven by private consumption in durable goods, semi-durables, and services starting in 2026, and by fixed investment in infrastructure, machinery, and housing. Inflation will be 3.1% in 2026, with lower interest rates strengthening financial conditions.
December 4, 2024
The Peruvian economy will grow 3,1% in 2024, 0,2pp more than expected in October. The revision mainly reflects the third quarter positive surprise. For 2025 we expect a 2,7% expansion, amid a challenging external context, but also when large infrastructure projects will begin construction.
December 3, 2024
Book product of a collaboration between the National Population Council (CONAPO), BBVA Foundation and BBVA Research. This twelfth edition presents in ten chapters the main data and indicators on migration, human mobility and remittances on a regional and global scale, with emphasis on Mexico.
December 2, 2024
The consumer price index increased 0.09% m/m in November. The result for the month is mainly explained by the increase in the prices of some foods, electricity rates, and domestic gas. With this result, the interannual inflation rate stood at 2.3% in November, in the center of the BCRP's target range.
