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January 31, 2025
Colombia | The positive signs of the sovereign rating
Standard & Poor’s reaffirmed Colombia’s sovereign rating at BB+ with a negative outlook, highlighting economic recovery despite fiscal deterioration. The key now is sustainable growth, driven by investment. The next challenge will be Moody’s review, which still keeps Colombia at investment grade.
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January 24, 2025
Colombia | Remittances Matter, and They Matter a Lot for Latin America
Remittances sent by Latin Americans from abroad are becoming more significant, accounting for 2.3% of the GDP of Latin America and the Caribbean. In 2024, these flows reached $160.9 billion, increasing $7.7 billion compared to 2023. Remittances affect the well-being of their recipients and reflect migration dynamics.
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January 10, 2025
Colombia | Savings: The cornerstone of economic progress
Colombia’s domestic savings reached 15.4% of GDP in Q3 2024, driven by the private sector. Yet, the annual average of 11.3% reveals structural challenges. Addressing fiscal imbalances is vital to establishing savings as the foundation for sustainable growth.
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January 10, 2025
Colombia | December inflation remained unchanged, leading to a 2024 closing at 5.2%
Inflation closed the year with an annual variation of 5.20%, remaining unchanged compared to the figure recorded in November. The monthly variation was 0.46%, above the expectations of market analysts, who according to the Banco de la República survey expected a monthly variation of 0.41%.
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December 13, 2024
Colombia | Tourism takes flight and soars higher
In 2023, Colombia hosted 6.1 million international tourists and robust domestic tourism, contributing 2.3% to GDP. By 2026, over 7 million visitors are projected. Despite challenges in infrastructure, security, and sustainability, the sector shows remarkable potential.
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December 7, 2024
Colombia | November inflation stood at 5.2%, in line with expectations
In November, monthly inflation was 0.27%, with an annual rate of 5.20%, consistent with our expectations and closely aligned with market analysts’ projections, which, according to the Central Bank of Colombia's survey, anticipated a monthly variation of 0.21%. This result is 21 basis points below the previous month's figure
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December 6, 2024
Colombia | Taking the pulse of the economy: steady steps, not leaps
BBVA Research forecasts GDP growth in Colombia of 2.0% in 2024, 2.5% in 2025, and 3.2% in 2026, driven by recovering domestic demand, lower interest rates, and reduced inflation. Consumption and investment will gain momentum, while the external deficit will be financed by FDI.
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December 5, 2024
Colombia Economic Outlook. December 2024
GDP will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 3.2% in 2026, driven by private consumption in durable goods, semi-durables, and services starting in 2026, and by fixed investment in infrastructure, machinery, and housing. Inflation will be 3.1% in 2026, with lower interest rates strengthening financial conditions.
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November 30, 2024
Colombia | National Unemployment Rate at 9.1% in October
The national unemployment rate for October stood at 9.1%, similar to the 9.2% recorded a year ago, and seasonally adjusted figures show it was similar to September of this year. In October, national employment levels remained stable compared to September (seasonally adjusted).
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November 29, 2024
Colombia | Palm oil: A promising bet for the future
Despite the challenges facing the sector, products like palm oil hold significant potential, not only due to their high productivity and capacity to drive development but also because Colombia possesses substantial advantages for its production.
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