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    BBVA Research Publications

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    March 12, 2025

    China | The main takeaways from March 2025 "two sessions"

    The recently closed "two sessions" set the 2025 growth target at around 5% and raised the fiscal deficit budget to 4%, breaking the redline of 3%.

    February 4, 2025

    China | What could go wrong with China’s new stimulus package?

    In this paper, we analyze what could go wrong in implementing the current jumbo size stimulus package to the Chinese economy and how to avoid these traps.

    January 22, 2025

    China | China-US rate gap is set to last longer amid FED “recalibration”

    Diverging monetary policy between China and the US remains after Trump’s victory, leading to a longer time China-US policy rate reversion.

    November 29, 2024

    China Economic Outlook. November 2024

    Chinese authorities have promulgated a large size stimulus package to support domestic growth, amid Trump's win in the US presidential election.

    October 2, 2024

    China Economic Outlook. October 2024

    The Chinese economy is experiencing structural rebalancing amid deep real estate adjustment. Due to the large-scale stimulus package, we believe the economy will bottom out in the near future.