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April 7, 2025
The last months of 2024 gave some glimpses of the challenges Latam could face in the coming years. However, looking beyond the first quarter of 2025, some—albeit not all—of these warning signs have faded.
March 17, 2025
GDP growth is expected to slow to 1.6% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026, following three years of around 3% growth. The slowdown will be driven by tighter monetary conditions, a weaker fiscal impulse, and a less favorable global context, though the primary sector and labor market resilience will provide support.
December 4, 2024
Growth will be around 3% for the third consecutive year in 2024, but a slowdown ahead is likely, driven by a less supportive global environment and higher-than-anticipated SELIC rates. The balance of risks has recently worsened, reflecting global factors and rising concerns over fiscal imbalances.
July 1, 2024
The last two years in Latin America have been marked by differences in macroeconomic policy strategies. Chile and Peru have made significant interest rate reductions as their inflation has allowed. Meanwhile, Colombia and Mexico are more reluctant to implement significant reductions in their rates.
February 9, 2023
The Latin American economy faces crosswinds in a scenario of disequilibrium, in line with international dynamics, where the main economic variables are still adjusting after the disruptive events of the most recent years.
May 6, 2019
The Brazilian economy saw a clear slowdown at the end of 2018 and growth in economic activity for the year was only 1.1% — the same rate recorded in 2017. Last year the country continued to recover too slowly from the strong recession that knocked almost seven percentage points off Brazil's GDP between 2015 and 2016.
April 11, 2019
Growth recovery is slowing down in Brazil. The deceleration in the world economy, as well as slow and limited progress in the local adoption of economic reforms –particularly in the social security- will limit the economy’s capacity for growth in the coming years. We expect GDP to grow 1.8% in both 2019 and 2020.
January 22, 2019
The Brazilian economy will grow 2.2% in 2019 and 1.8% in 2020, stimulated by factors such as the expansive tone of monetary policy and the increase in confidence. However, prospects for growth recovery are now less positive, mainly due to the view that the global environment will be less favorable than previously expected.
January 2, 2019
Many individuals and households experience moments of financial difficulty, prompted either by a personal shock, such as losing a job, or an economy-wide shock, such as a recession. Financial resilience is key for consumer welfare and the formal financial system plays an important role.
