Searcher
Miguel Cardoso
Miguel Cardoso
BBVA Research - Chief Economist

Miguel Cardoso is Chief Economist for Spain at BBVA Research, where he leads a team of 13 economists dedicated to the macroeconomic, sector and regional analysis of the Spanish economy. At BBVA Research he has also held positions as Chief Economist for Chile, and Senior Economist for Emerging Markets.


Previously, he was an Assistant Professor (on tenure track) at the Department of Economics of Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, and worked also as an Advisor to the Director General of Fiscal Planning in the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit in Mexico.


He earned a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Minnesota in the U.S., and a BA in Economics from the Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM). He has authored several publications, with some of his main areas of research being the amplification mechanisms of business cycles, the characteristics of the crisis in Spain and its regional impact, as well as the impact of public policies on the determinants of export capacity, public finance and the labor market.

Latest publications

The recent increase in inflation, not seen in decades, has shown our aversion to the constant escalation of prices. Although inflation has already fallen, it is expected to stay above 3%, and around 2.5% in 2025, affected by the performance of the cost of services.
Several institutions, including BBVA Research, have upgraded their GDP expectations for Spain. However, different factors are limiting the growth of private consumption.
Since the beginning of 2020, the loss of purchasing power, measured by the increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), has been almost 20%.