Francisco Grippa is Principal Economist of BBVA Research in Peru. Francisco is in charge of a team focused on the macro assessment of the Peruvian economy.
Francisco has previously been the Peruvian ViceMinister of SME and Industry, President of the Board at the Peruvian Research and Competitiveness Fund (FIDECOM), and Member of the Board at the Labour Training and Employment Promotion Fund (FONDOEMPLEO), the Innovation, Science, and Technology Fund (FINCYT), and the Commission for Promoting Peruvian Exports and Tourism (PROMPERÚ), among other similar positions. He has also worked leading the Peruvian Central Bank’s monetary policy department.He holds a MSc in Economics from the London School of Economics and Political Science (London, UK), a MSc in Finance from the Graduate Programme in Economics, Finance, and Management at Universitat Pompeu Fabra (Barcelona, Spain), and a BA from Universidad del Pacífico (Lima, Peru). Francisco’s research includes macroeconomics issues such as monetary policy, inflation targeting, dollarisation, among others, and sectoral analysis.October 3, 2024
GDP will grow 2.9% this year and 2.7% in 2025. Private spending will gain traction in the coming quarters, supported by more favourable financial conditions, the impact of private pension funds withdrawals, and the beginning of construction of some infrastructure projects, while public spending will moderate.
June 19, 2024
Output will grow 2,9% this year (previous forecast: 2,7%), supported by a new pension funds withdrawal. Sectors affected by weather anomalies in 2023 will recover and non-primary sectors too thanks to increased private spending. In 2025, once the impact of pension funds withdrawals is exhausted, growth would reach 2,7%.
May 10, 2024
Without major surprise, in May the Central Bank cut once again its policy rate by 25bp, bringing it to 5,75%. We estimate that from now on the monetary normalisation process will unfold more gradually, closely following the behaviour of core inflation and the foreign exchange.
