Arnulfo Rodríguez
BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Arnulfo Rodriguez is a Senior Economist at BBVA Research since 2012. As a professional economist, Arnulfo has analyzed various macroeconomic, financial, regional and sectoral issues related to the Mexican economy.
Between 2004 and 2011 Arnulfo worked for the Central Bank of Mexico as an Economic Researcher. He has been a Professor at the Economics Department of CIDE in Mexico City, Assistant Instructor at the Economics Department of UT Austin and External Professor at St. Edward’s University in Austin, Texas.
He has published numerous papers in prestigious international academic journals like Computational Economics, Economics Letters and the Journal of Forecasting. Arnulfo came in third and second place in the Pensions National Prize organized by CONSAR and AMAFORE in 2007 and 2008, respectively.
He earned a B.A. in Electrical Engineering from the Monterrey Institute of Technology (ITESM), where he completed his studies with the support of a fellowship and graduated with the highest honors in 1995. Arnulfo also obtained a PhD degree in economics from The University of Texas at Austin in May 2004 with the dissertation “Essays on inflation forecast based rules, robust policies and sovereign debt.”
Latest publications
November 26, 2024
Mexico | Lower surplus reflects higher economic dynamism in 3Q24
The current account surplus in the third quarter of 2024 was lower than the corresponding figure for the same period of 2023 mainly due to the deficit in the balance on non-oil related goods.
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November 16, 2024
Mexico | Positive signals from the 2025 economic package
A lower deficit will promote more stability of the public debt-to-GDP ratio in the future, but the optimistic assumption of economic growth prompts us to foresee a Historical Balance of Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (HBPSBR) of 52.9% vs. 51.4% of GDP anticipated by the Finance Ministry.
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