Alfonso Ugarte is a Principal Economist in the Global Scenarios Unit of BBVA Research. He has previously worked in the Cross-Country Emerging Markets, Global Trends and Financial System Units in the same department.
October 7, 2024
Despite uncertainty and high interest rates, investment remains strong in countries like the U.S. and France, especially in intellectual property and ICT, but not in Spain, Canada, and most emerging markets. GDP growth remains key, but digitalization and climate transition policies will drive future investment.
January 10, 2024
Agencies’ ratings have remained relatively stable during 2023. Changes have been mostly positive in peripheral Europe, while US and France were downgraded by Fitch. The rating cycle has been mostly negative for Emerging Economies (EE), mainly due to specific idiosyncratic vulnerabilities.
August 21, 2023
The demographic challenges facing developed countries are well known: rapid aging and populations that in are already beginning to shrink in some regions. Less well known, however, is that the demographic transition is already changing the landscape in the vast majority of developing countries.
