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    Our featured publications

    January 22, 2025

    Mexico | Trump 2.0 Mass Deportation: A Low Probability Event

    On the first day of the Trump 2.0 administration, at least 7 executive orders or proclamations were issued regarding immigration issues, highlighting the importance of this issue for his government.

    January 20, 2025

    Spain | Spain - U.S. trade relations in the face of possible tariff increases

    The direct impact on the Spanish economy of a possible increase in tariffs on U.S. imports is expected to be limited, given the relatively lower trade exposure with respect to the rest of the Eurozone countries. However, there are regions, sectors and companies that may be particularly affected.

    December 23, 2024

    Spain | 2024 Regional Economic Yearbook of Catalonia

    With 30 editions already published, the BBVA Regional Economic Yearbook is the most detailed and complete report on the economy of the regions of Catalonia. Online access through a digital portal is a new feature this year. The increase in Catalonia’s GVA in 2023 (2.9%) has already brought it back to pre-pandemic levels.

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    Our most recent publications

    January 30, 2025

    Mexico | GDP fell (-)0.6% QoQ in 4Q24; the biggest drop in the industry since the pandemic

    The GDP data is in line with our forecast (BBVA -0.7%, consensus -0.2%), and confirms the extended weakness of the secondary sector

    January 30, 2025

    US | Fed pauses rate cuts to kick off 2025

    Signs that core inflation is back on trend to 2% could open the door for another cut in March, but the implementation of policies that could spark an upward trend in inflation, even if temporary, could imply a more extended pause.

    January 29, 2025

    Spain | GDP grew by 0.8% q/q in 4Q24, closing 2024 with a 3.2% expansion

    Activity grew again by 0.8% q/q in 4Q24, driven by domestic demand despite weak net external demand. GDP growth was supported by an increase in hours worked, as productivity declined. Overall, GDP expanded by 3.2% in 2024, exceeding forecasts.

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